‘Busiest Political Betting Day In History’ On what may plausibly be the final one, or a minimum of the last involving greater than two candidates, everyone was civil and policy-focused. There was no obvious winner or loser, which should be good news for the front-runner. Normally by mid-March, the parties would be in the strategy of coalescing around an overwhelmingly doubtless candidate. This time, with protest and violence at GOP entrance-runner Trump rallies dominating the day by day headlines, consensus appears a factor of the past. What we’d like is polls for these states and, extra importantly, head-to-head with Trump polls in these and the sooner remaining states. From the little evidence seen up to now, Trump struggles towards anyone head-to-head. So there does appear to be a belated meeting of minds and, after Tuesday, these tactical operations will become clearer. My view, because the market implies, is that Rubio will lose his house state of Florida and drop out. Again this end result could be coated in opposition to later if needed, during what shall be a lengthy, difficult course of. Right now, the shortest odds about anyone in addition to these four is one hundred. In any case, […]
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